Category Archives: General Thoughts

Spurs season review – Goals and expected goals

Tottenham had another good season going forward, scoring a total of 74 goals – tied for third in the Premier League. However, this was down on 2016-2017 where we topped the league with 86. Continue reading

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Spurs put Everton to the sword – talking points

SpursEverton

Expected Goals view of the game over time. Spurs were well on top from the 20th minute.

  • A game that looked a potential banana skin on paper – a Sam Allardyce team come to Wembley to defend – turned into one of Spurs best performances of the season. The biggest win against Everton since Bill Nicholson’s first game, a 10-4 victory back in 1958. The early goal certainly helped open the game up and Spurs dominated the scoring opportunities, 20 shots to 7 and 2.9 expected goals to 0.5.

Continue reading

What is wrong with Tottenham?

Life seemed good back in early November. Spurs had just beaten Real Madrid 3-1 in a pulsating Champions League clash and sat a healthy third in the Premier League table.

A scrappy 1-0 win over Crystal Palace followed. Mauricio Pochettino’s side didn’t play well in that encounter but they found a way to get the three points. A hangover from such an emotional Champions League victory was only to be expected. Continue reading

Premier League performance – Expected Goals versus Points

The Premier League is seven games old, just enough to start looking at how teams are performing statistically.

Expected Points vs Actual Points

I have created an Expected Goals measure to analyse games (see here for an explanation). This can be used to make an estimate of how many points you would expect a team to have earned based on the shots they have taken. Continue reading

Was Harry Kane’s August that bad (through numbers)?

As we all know, Harry Kane doesn’t score in August. This year he kept his poor run going and, as if to emphasise the point, come the first day of September the goals arrived.

But leaving media narratives aside, has he really played badly in his three Premier League starts so far? Or has he just been a bit unlucky? Continue reading