Expected Goals view of the game over time. Spurs were well on top from the 20th minute.

• A game that looked a potential banana skin on paper – a Sam Allardyce team come to Wembley to defend – turned into one of Spurs best performances of the season. The biggest win against Everton since Bill Nicholson’s first game, a 10-4 victory back in 1958. The early goal certainly helped open the game up and Spurs dominated the scoring opportunities, 20 shots to 7 and 2.9 expected goals to 0.5.

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What is there left to say about Harry Kane? The Spurs striker has dramatically exceeded all expectations with his meteoric rise from clumsy looking youth prospect, to one of the most feared strikers in world football. Continue reading →

Life seemed good back in early November. Spurs had just beaten Real Madrid 3-1 in a pulsating Champions League clash and sat a healthy third in the Premier League table.

A scrappy 1-0 win over Crystal Palace followed. Mauricio Pochettino’s side didn’t play well in that encounter but they found a way to get the three points. A hangover from such an emotional Champions League victory was only to be expected. Continue reading →

The Premier League is seven games old, just enough to start looking at how teams are performing statistically.

Expected Points vs Actual Points

I have created an Expected Goals measure to analyse games (see here for an explanation). This can be used to make an estimate of how many points you would expect a team to have earned based on the shots they have taken. Continue reading →